Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 310.839560 353.016982 400.249180 457.332371 524.810741 602.476221 699.265440
2025-02-02 259.949273 317.940025 389.220388 484.462762 610.199052 773.119324 1004.560962
2025-02-09 223.205995 286.136930 368.271191 485.587651 652.681550 888.270989 1257.200182
2025-02-16 193.373646 256.735933 343.259062 473.367221 670.131558 967.239637 1472.151253
2025-02-23 171.665414 234.616030 323.882105 464.107722 687.476998 1045.884560 1702.137893
2025-03-02 159.841518 224.548954 319.679388 475.600316 737.077283 1183.230126 2066.064487
2025-03-09 147.238077 211.638783 309.231059 475.078136 765.867943 1289.741540 2402.050293
2025-03-16 134.541377 197.124016 294.405890 464.889098 775.518004 1362.488925 2690.366549
2025-03-23 125.931354 188.027790 287.024844 465.957294 804.990040 1478.093515 3106.746029
2025-03-30 116.375004 176.487391 274.350723 455.871465 811.415751 1548.026598 3439.246165
2025-04-06 109.434021 168.571522 266.900116 454.144494 833.633246 1655.613819 3903.917325
2025-04-13 99.984313 155.712385 249.760582 432.234373 811.232440 1659.165556 4090.053598
2025-04-20 97.671002 154.919775 253.976201 452.351077 882.049260 1899.126354 5069.475689
2025-04-27 96.307397 155.654094 261.021325 479.133257 973.104528 2215.823336 6469.203648
2025-05-04 91.629569 150.111048 255.897508 480.242211 1005.389781 2388.807910 7481.041680
2025-05-11 85.776175 141.998801 245.182078 468.187179 1003.998008 2468.576370 8191.134162
2025-05-18 80.805070 135.144992 236.300541 459.052326 1008.367167 2566.909541 9043.685993
2025-05-25 78.536711 133.125154 236.662466 470.390127 1067.242326 2848.856868 10918.494744
2025-06-01 75.182972 128.811925 232.065739 469.875000 1094.707762 3040.111727 12523.784308
2025-06-08 71.141935 122.916986 223.785341 459.823205 1094.301236 3138.351356 13729.706944
2025-06-15 68.477196 119.507726 220.343563 460.877045 1125.637825 3359.396409 15861.614798
2025-06-22 64.997398 114.286788 212.718011 450.926455 1123.258818 3456.724056 17333.678893
2025-06-29 62.490674 110.841486 208.599466 449.222572 1145.507943 3657.672661 19752.435650